Winter is back - ouch!

Well, just like that winter is back--and with a vengeance! It snowed all day today in Toronto and I had to sweep the car and shovel the driveway twice. And on top of that the forecast is showing at least 5 or 6 more days of very cold temperatures--as low as -15C in Algonquin on both Friday and Sunday nights. That's awfully cold for March 27th!

Given this forecast I'm not feeling very confident in my choice of April 21st--I think we could be looking at a May ice-out date for the first time in 14 years.

I have finally caught up and posted all the dates I have received so far (130 of them), as well as the usual graph showing the distribution. April 22nd is the overwhelming first choice, with almost 50% of people choosing a date in the week between April 19-25.

We shall see!


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You can contact Jeff about Ice-Out by email at 'iceout' + '@' + ''

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  • 2013 Predictions!

  • To make a prediction just send your date to Jeff by email at 'iceout' + '@' + ''

    See what dates people chose in past years.

  • 2014 (May 2nd)
  • 2013 (April 29th)
  • 2012 (March 26th)
  • 2011 (April 29th)
  • 2010 (April 3rd)
  • 2009 (April 24th)
  • 2008 (April 25th)

Historical Sites & Data

    Here is a table and graph of all the ice-out dates since 1989 (plus one very old data point for 1953!)

    In 2008 this site was converted to a blog format, so historical posts are now available via the archives. Previous sites have been preserved here for posterity...

  • 2007 (April 22nd)
  • 2006 (April 20th)
  • 2005 (April 28th)
  • 2004 (April 22nd)
  • 2003 (April 23rd)
  • 2002 (April 19th)
  • 2001 (April 23rd)
  • 2000 (April 26th)
  • 1999 (April 20th)

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