March 2010 Archives

Date selections posted

I have finally posted the 113 date selections I have received so far over on the 2010 Predictions page. A few observations about this year's guesses:

  • There is a clear consensus that it will be an earlier-than-average
    ice out this year.
  • The most popular single date is Monday, April 19th.
  • 54% of people think the ice will go out in the 5 days between
    April 17 - April 21. (This a larger % than last year, and a week earlier.)
  • 80% of people think the ice will be out by April 22nd.

Time for bed... I'll try to get another post up later this week.

I have seen the ice...

We were up on Canoe Lake for a couple of days last weekend. It was absolutely beautiful, sunny, and warm! But there was a lot more snow and ice than I expected, especially after the non-winter we had here in Toronto this year.

We cut a hole in the ice (see below) and it looks to me like there is about 20" total. There is a 2" layer on top with about 1" of water underneath, and then about 17" of solid, clear ice. In my experience these are pretty much average conditions.

I have already received a pile of dates and should get around to posting them this week. In the mean time, here are some photos from our weekend...

Heading for the cottage under a big blue sky on Canoe Lake - March 6th, 2010.  Photo by Jefferson Ridpath

We ran into some other Canoe Lakers in the parking lot and headed out together - March 6th, 2010.  Photo by Jefferson Ridpath

The star of the show! - March 6th, 2010.  Photo by Jefferson Ridpath

2010 Canoe Lake Ice-out : Game on!

Yep -- it's that time! Unlike last year, it seems (in Toronto at least) like we haven't really had winter at all this year. It was cold, but I can count the number of times I had to shovel the driveway on one hand.

Once again, it was John Manson who was the first to email me (on January 20th no less!) with a date for this year. The 2010 ice-out season began with these words: "Anyone can predict once spring starts, real men give it a try when the ice is still forming!"

I'll be up on Canoe Lake again soon and will bring back a full report and photos. When those are posted, and I've cleaned things up around here, I'll send out an email to the list officially announcing the 2010 ice-out pool.

Stay tuned...

Making tracks on Canoe Lake on February 12th, 2010.  Photo by Debbie Ridpath Ohi


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  • 2013 Predictions!

  • To make a prediction just send your date to Jeff by email at 'iceout' + '@' + ''

    See what dates people chose in past years.

  • 2014 (May 2nd)
  • 2013 (April 29th)
  • 2012 (March 26th)
  • 2011 (April 29th)
  • 2010 (April 3rd)
  • 2009 (April 24th)
  • 2008 (April 25th)

Historical Sites & Data

    Here is a table and graph of all the ice-out dates since 1989 (plus one very old data point for 1953!)

    In 2008 this site was converted to a blog format, so historical posts are now available via the archives. Previous sites have been preserved here for posterity...

  • 2007 (April 22nd)
  • 2006 (April 20th)
  • 2005 (April 28th)
  • 2004 (April 22nd)
  • 2003 (April 23rd)
  • 2002 (April 19th)
  • 2001 (April 23rd)
  • 2000 (April 26th)
  • 1999 (April 20th)

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